Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T07:20:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
BE 0xbeb5…edea crypto 114 markets active 2h ago coverage 26d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$102 (-2%) realized −$102 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate52%59W / 55L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day36.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$242
7 days−$242
14 days−$289
30 days−$460
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$460
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -1.3% -10.7% 49% 46% -19.5%
≤30d 114 -7.7% -16.5% 52% 45% -17.2%
≤90d 114 -7.7% -16.5% 52% 45% -17.2%
all 114 -7.7% -16.5% 52% 45% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 45% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 34% -25.1%
15% -31.8% 23% -32.3%
20% -38.5% 19% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$26 · ×0.63 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses59 / 55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage26d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day36.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 114 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 29 $125 −$121 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 29 $348 −$237 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 29 $203 +$68 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 29 $171 +$117 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 29 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $44 −$40 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 29 $31 +$18 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 29 $21 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $92 +$26 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 29 $118 −$17 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$5 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 29 $56 +$38 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 29 $96 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 29 $93 −$15 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 29 $71 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 29 $21 +$25 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 29 $44 +$34 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 29 $37 +$12 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 29 $29 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $56 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 28 $24 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 28 $44 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $24 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $22 −$12 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 28 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 28 $16 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 28 $16 +$12 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$10 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $13 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $3 +$12 +389%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 28 $51 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $19 +$15 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $32 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 28 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 27 $21 −$18 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 22 $68 −$64 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 22 $52 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $41 −$30 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 22 $67 +$52 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 22 $67 −$63 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 22 $107 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 22 $31 −$19 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 22 $57 +$17 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $125 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 975 history records