Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:20:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbeb2…0844
other · 258 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$99 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses14 / 243
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)257 / 258
History coverage131d
Avg bet$193
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 1 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$17
14 days−$24
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 98¢ 98¢ $51 $51 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $773 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $227 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $179 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $184 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $533 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $52 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 11 $479 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $105 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $133 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $685 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $373 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $132 $0 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $144 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $348 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 10 $407 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $77 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $108 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 09 $407 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $53 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $389 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $198 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $130 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 08 $288 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $506 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $232 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $586 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $520 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 06 $54 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $195 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $209 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $132 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $601 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $456 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 05 $385 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $163 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $56 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $312 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $336 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $423 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $434 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $57 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $148 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $57 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $808 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $495 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $58 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $58 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $213 −$1 -0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $59 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$39
sports 21% −$17
politics 10% −$7
culture 7% −$7
crypto 6% −$4
economics 6% −$6
world 3% −$3
tech 1% −$16
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $51 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $51 2h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $51 4h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 8h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $51 9h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 21h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $51 23h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $51 25h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $51 27h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $51 28h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $51 29h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $51 31h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $52 32h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $52 35h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $52 37h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $52 41h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $52 43h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $52 2d
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $52 2d
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $52 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $52 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $0 2d
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $51 2d
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 97¢ $51 2d
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $52 2d
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $52 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 78 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 187 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 257 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.68 · official $50.68 (match) · 1365 history records