Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:21:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe9f…8e53
crypto · 230 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$29 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses80 / 150
Open positions0
Markets (closed)230 / 230
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day95.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$13 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$13 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$9 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$14 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$11 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$10 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$10 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$9 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +240%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $8 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 230 +0.3% -9.2% 35% 35% -11.5%
≤30d 230 +0.3% -9.2% 35% 35% -11.5%
≤90d 230 +0.3% -9.2% 35% 35% -11.5%
all 230 +0.3% -9.2% 35% 35% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 35% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 35% -19.9%
15% -25.9% 34% -27.7%
20% -33.1% 34% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 384 history records