trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +28.2% | +16.0% | 50% | 50% | +88.1% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 50% | 50% | +20.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -23.9% | -31.2% | 42% | 42% | -9.0% |
| all | 14 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 36% | 36% | -17.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.1% | 36% | -17.4% |
| 10% | -37.7% | 36% | -25.3% |
| 15% | -43.7% | 21% | -32.5% |
| 20% | -49.2% | 14% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 46¢ | $100 | $93 | −$7 (-7%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A | Jun 17 | $43 | +$67 | +156% |
| Algeria leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $112 | −$15 | -13% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 30 | $121 | +$29 | +24% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer | May 30 | $10 | −$4 | -36% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 20 | $101 | +$24 | +24% |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 29 | $36 | +$54 | +152% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? | Apr 28 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | Apr 28 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | Apr 20 | $100 | +$36 | +36% |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 17 | $197 | −$87 | -44% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11? | Mar 11 | $200 | −$3 | -2% |