Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T20:35:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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BE 0xbe94…1f5c crypto 1548 markets active 0h ago coverage 53d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$751 (-3%) realized −$751 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate77%1187W / 361L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day49.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$877
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,209
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -5.9% -14.9% 85% 21% -15.2%
≤30d 818 -5.6% -14.6% 71% 47% -17.3%
≤90d 1548 -5.0% -14.0% 77% 28% -13.7%
all 1548 -5.0% -14.0% 77% 28% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover49.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 28% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 19% -22.0%
15% -29.8% 17% -29.5%
20% -36.6% 6% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

53d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$751
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1187 / 361
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1548 / 1548
History coverage53d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day49.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1548 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records