Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T14:04:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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BE 0xbe92…a0cb crypto 168 markets active 1h ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$41 (+0%) realized +$40 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%163W / 1L
Drawdown2%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day8.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$249now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$12
14 days+$19
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$43
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 126 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 164 -0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.1%
all 164 -0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 0% -9.1%
10% -18.2% 0% -17.8%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×42.05 per $1 lost it wins $42.05
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$249
Realized+$40
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses163 / 1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)164 / 168
History coverage62d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 164 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 26? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $201 $202 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 26? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 26? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 25? No 99¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25? Jun 25 $344 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 25? Jun 25 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 24? Jun 24 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 25? Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 25? Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 24? Jun 24 $193 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 24? Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 24? Jun 23 $169 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 23? Jun 23 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 23? Jun 23 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 24? Jun 23 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 23? Jun 23 $140 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 24? Jun 23 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 24? Jun 23 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 24? Jun 22 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 23? Jun 22 $240 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 23? Jun 22 $82 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 22? Jun 22 $82 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 22? Jun 21 $251 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 22? Jun 21 $207 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 21? Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 20? Jun 20 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 19? Jun 19 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 19? Jun 19 $81 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 20? Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 19? Jun 19 $21 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 19? Jun 19 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 19? Jun 19 $32 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 19? Jun 19 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 19? Jun 19 $107 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on June 20? Jun 18 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $126 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? Jun 18 $124 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 18? Jun 17 $144 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 18? Jun 17 $63 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 17? Jun 16 $65 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 17? Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 16? Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 16? Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 16? Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 17? Jun 15 $34 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 16? Jun 15 $121 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 17? Jun 15 $19 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 15? Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 15? Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14? Jun 13 $139 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 13? Jun 13 $24 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 13? Jun 13 $26 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25? SELL Yes 100¢ $9 1h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 26? BUY Yes 99¢ $28 1h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 26? BUY Yes 99¢ $173 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25? SELL Yes 100¢ $130 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25? BUY Yes 99¢ $139 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 25? SELL No 100¢ $11 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 26? BUY No 99¢ $5 7h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25? SELL Yes 100¢ $207 8h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 25? BUY No 99¢ $11 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 26? BUY Yes 99¢ $38 20h
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 25? SELL No 100¢ $5 21h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25? BUY Yes 99¢ $206 22h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 25? SELL No 100¢ $5 25h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 24? SELL Yes 100¢ $194 29h
Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 24? BUY Yes 99¢ $193 30h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 25? BUY No 99¢ $3 39h
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 25? BUY No 99¢ $5 39h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 25? BUY No 99¢ $5 39h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 24? SELL No 100¢ $3 44h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 25? BUY No 99¢ $0 44h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 24? SELL No 100¢ $25 44h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 24? SELL No 100¢ $145 44h
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 23? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 23? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 47h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 23? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 47h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 23? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 47h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 24? BUY No 99¢ $25 47h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 24? SELL No 100¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 24? BUY No 99¢ $144 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 24? SELL No 100¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $248.65 · official $248.15 (match) · 533 history records