Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:33:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbe83…82a8 sports 150 markets active 4d ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$458 (-4%) realized −$458 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate60%90W / 60L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$70per market
Trades / day83.2pace
Fees−$86est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 -14.9% -23.0% 55% 54% -16.2%
≤30d 150 -8.0% -16.7% 60% 59% -10.0%
≤90d 150 -8.0% -16.7% 60% 59% -10.0%
all 150 -8.0% -16.7% 60% 59% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 59% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 51% -18.6%
15% -32.0% 29% -26.5%
20% -38.6% 7% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -24% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$37 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$458
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses90 / 60
Est. fees paid−$86
Open positions0
Markets (closed)150 / 150
History coverage5d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day83.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 150 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $77 −$23 -29%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $74 +$14 +18%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $37 +$12 +33%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $68 −$12 -18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $77 +$23 +30%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $68 −$68 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $37 +$19 +51%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $78 +$9 +12%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $119 −$49 -41%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $37 −$37 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $38 +$7 +17%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $38 −$37 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $72 +$23 +32%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $36 +$12 +34%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $74 +$29 +39%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $56 −$4 -8%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $74 +$23 +31%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $36 +$13 +38%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $36 +$17 +46%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $165 −$50 -30%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$8 -16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $37 −$36 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $38 +$18 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $36 −$36 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $63 −$3 -6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $154 −$26 -17%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $80 −$14 -17%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 13 $158 −$87 -55%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 13 $84 −$84 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$33 +33%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $44 +$8 +18%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $47 +$19 +40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $69 +$1 +2%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu Jun 12 $47 +$23 +48%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $43 +$39 +92%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $90 +$35 +39%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $105 +$46 +44%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$49 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $51 +$18 +36%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$13 +26%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $95 −$16 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 72¢ $8 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 78¢ $17 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 67¢ $16 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 74¢ $38 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 68¢ $31 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 83¢ $26 4d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 73¢ $41 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 86¢ $18 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 70¢ $19 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 72¢ $14 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 85¢ $7 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 76¢ $23 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 84¢ $67 4d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 70¢ $7 4d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 71¢ $38 4d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 66¢ $33 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 67¢ $15 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 75¢ $23 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 67¢ $3 4d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner BUY Bebop 65¢ $4 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 78¢ $29 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 76¢ $45 4d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner BUY Bebop 64¢ $16 4d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner BUY Bebop 67¢ $17 4d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 69¢ $18 4d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 70¢ $20 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 85¢ $38 4d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 70¢ $17 4d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 73¢ $22 4d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 89¢ $78 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 595 history records