Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe80…07a8
weather · 30 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$8 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses19 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 10 $1 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 10 $5 +$2 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 9? Jun 10 $12 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 10? Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 09 $5 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 09 $4 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 09 $9 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 9? Jun 08 $4 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 08 $4 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 7? Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL No 74¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? SELL No 90¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY No 76¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL No 91¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 96¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY No 84¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 91¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 92¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY No 82¢ $5 5h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju SELL No 80¢ $0 5h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju SELL No 84¢ $4 5h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 91¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 89¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju SELL No 93¢ $15 26h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $11 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $10 26h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $5 26h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 86¢ $5 28h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June SELL No 100¢ $5 29h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $10 29h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 91¢ $5 30h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 93¢ $5 30h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $5 31h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju SELL No 90¢ $9 31h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju BUY No 96¢ $5 31h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY No 98¢ $5 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +1.7% -8.0% 63% 23% -6.2%
≤30d 30 +1.7% -8.0% 63% 23% -6.2%
≤90d 30 +1.7% -8.0% 63% 23% -6.2%
all 30 +1.7% -8.0% 63% 23% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 23% -6.2%
10% -16.8% 7% -15.2%
15% -24.9% 3% -23.4%
20% -32.2% 0% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 84 history records