Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:40:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe72…0d94
crypto · 1180 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,518 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,615 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$2,615
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses570 / 608
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1178 / 1180
History coverage50d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day59.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1178 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,467
7 days−$2,269
14 days−$2,270
30 days−$2,538
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 37¢ 98¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+166%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 46¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$13 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$19 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,614
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $24 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 306 -7.9% -16.6% 49% 47% -47.9%
≤30d 1047 -10.2% -18.7% 48% 46% -36.4%
≤90d 1178 -9.1% -17.7% 48% 46% -34.4%
all 1178 -9.1% -17.7% 48% 46% -34.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 46% -34.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 44% -40.7%
15% -32.8% 42% -46.4%
20% -39.4% 38% -51.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.54 · official $6.86 (match) · 3500 history records