Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:34:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe62…8d80
crypto · 199 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$408 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$468 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$468
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses75 / 124
Open positions0
Markets (closed)199 / 199
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day396.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$468
7 days−$468
14 days−$468
30 days−$468
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$21 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$13 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$11 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$25 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$26 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$14 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$21 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$6 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$21 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$21 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$15 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$10 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$13 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$21 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$468
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $27 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $14 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $12 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $20 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $18 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $20 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $14 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $14 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $20 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 -14.5% -22.7% 38% 37% -21.0%
≤30d 199 -14.5% -22.7% 38% 37% -21.0%
≤90d 199 -14.5% -22.7% 38% 37% -21.0%
all 199 -14.5% -22.7% 38% 37% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover396.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.7% 37% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -30.1% 36% -28.6%
15% -36.8% 36% -35.5%
20% -43.0% 36% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 494 history records