Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:13:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe4e…d0c6
crypto · 102 markets active 19h ago
0.0score
−$3,775 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,328 · open −$1,447
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3,056
Realized−$2,328
Unrealized−$1,447
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses16 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions15
Markets (closed)87 / 102
Avg bet$195
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 15 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,881
7 days−$1,093
14 days−$1,181
30 days−$2,183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $1,895 $1,077 −$818 (-43%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $1,294 $1,015 −$279 (-22%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 22¢ 12¢ $400 $218 −$182 (-45%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June? Yes 36¢ 46¢ $150 $190 +$40 (+26%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June? Yes 37¢ 22¢ $200 $121 −$79 (-39%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in June? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $105 $104 −$1 (-1%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes 6¢ 9¢ $63 $100 +$37 (+59%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $80 $82 +$2 (+3%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June? Yes 20¢ 14¢ $100 $73 −$27 (-27%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes 37¢ 24¢ $40 $26 −$14 (-35%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? Yes 23¢ 2¢ $120 $12 −$108 (-90%)
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 8¢ 3¢ $30 $12 −$18 (-61%)
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in June? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in June? Yes 14¢ 27¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+93%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? No 13¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? No 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11? No 7¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? No 25¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? No 17¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner GamerLegion 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $520 $0 −$520 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8? Jun 11 $106 −$106 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11? Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $125 −$125 -100%
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) Jun 11 $82 −$82 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Jun 11 $53 −$53 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1? Jun 11 $148 −$148 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? Jun 11 $53 −$53 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? Jun 11 $209 −$209 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 11 $156 −$156 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? Jun 11 $106 −$106 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 11 $128 −$128 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 11 $149 −$149 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 11 $90 −$90 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? Jun 11 $128 −$128 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2? Jun 11 $75 −$75 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15? Jun 11 $144 −$144 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 11 $422 −$422 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9? Jun 11 $54 −$54 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? Jun 11 $413 +$242 +59%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 9? Jun 11 $65 −$65 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 11 $82 −$82 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? Jun 11 $52 −$52 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 10? Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 11 $328 −$328 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 9? Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $232 −$232 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $66 −$66 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $86 −$86 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $149 −$149 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $174 −$163 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $69 −$65 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $106 −$100 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $20 −$19 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $396 −$180 -45%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $22 −$21 -94%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $154 −$150 -97%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 09 $159 −$150 -94%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? Jun 09 $269 +$1,298 +483%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 9? Jun 09 $41 −$40 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $107 −$100 -94%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in June? Jun 09 $206 +$601 +292%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $224 −$160 -72%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $371 −$350 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $341 −$321 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $545 −$520 -95%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 8? Jun 08 $43 +$57 +133%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $124 −$120 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $105 −$100 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $282 −$267 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 43% −$7,302
other 24% −$1,272
finance 18% +$4,968
tech 10% +$199
sports 6% −$365
world 0% +$3
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 5¢ $131 19h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 6¢ $53 19h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 7¢ $16 19h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 9¢ $106 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 12¢ $43 22h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 18¢ $127 34h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 7¢ $12 34h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 24¢ $53 34h
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 5¢ $32 34h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 34h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 7¢ $32 34h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 28¢ $53 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 19¢ $20 35h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? BUY Yes 36¢ $82 41h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 10? BUY Yes 3¢ $31 41h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? BUY Yes 7¢ $52 41h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY No 13¢ $53 41h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY No 13¢ $22 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 2¢ $75 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 12¢ $33 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? BUY No 37¢ $136 43h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? SELL Yes 62¢ $263 43h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY Yes 10¢ $170 43h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Up 27¢ $154 43h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY Yes 2¢ $52 2d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY Yes 3¢ $52 2d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY Yes 4¢ $52 2d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY Yes 4¢ $52 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 18¢ $106 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY Yes 17¢ $106 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-49.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -47.9% -52.9% 16% 16% -17.8%
≤30d 66 -50.2% -55.0% 15% 15% -24.2%
≤90d 87 -44.5% -49.8% 18% 17% -23.7%
all 87 -44.5% -49.8% 18% 17% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -49.8% 17% -23.7%
10% -54.6% 17% -31.0%
15% -59.0% 14% -37.7%
20% -63.0% 14% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,055.66 · official $3,055.66 (match) · 254 history records