Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe4d…d39b
sports · 211 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
−$541 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$664 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$664
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses187 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Est. fees paid−$80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)211 / 211
History coverage61d
Avg bet$165
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$49
14 days−$113
30 days−$397
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 94¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 80¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 68¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers 75¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers 87¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will AZ win on 2026-05-17? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $20 −$19 -93%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $55 +$7 +12%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $58 −$3 -6%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $55 +$3 +6%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $48 +$7 +14%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $46 +$2 +4%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $47 −$1 -2%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $40 +$7 +17%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $50 −$18 -37%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 11 $52 +$6 +12%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 10 $49 +$4 +7%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova Jun 10 $47 +$2 +3%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $34 +$13 +40%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $32 +$2 +5%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $31 +$1 +4%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $28 +$3 +12%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $26 +$1 +5%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $25 +$1 +5%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 06 $21 +$4 +20%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $10 −$3 -26%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $10 $0 +4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $58 −$58 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 05 $56 +$2 +4%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 04 $52 +$4 +7%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $42 +$10 +24%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $31 +$10 +33%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 04 $22 +$9 +42%
Centurion 2: Alec Beckley vs Tuncay Duran Jun 04 $21 +$1 +4%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 04 $20 +$1 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $107 −$106 -99%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 04 $100 +$6 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $88 +$12 +13%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $63 +$26 +42%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $44 +$18 +41%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 03 $39 +$5 +12%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $36 +$3 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $29 +$7 +24%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $20 +$9 +43%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 02 $62 −$62 -99%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 02 $61 +$1 +2%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 02 $60 +$1 +2%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 02 $47 +$12 +26%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $43 +$5 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $42 +$1 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $40 +$2 +5%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 01 $38 +$2 +5%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) May 31 $35 +$3 +10%
Jong vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 May 31 $34 +$1 +2%
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 31 $32 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$229
other 10% −$437
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 5¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 71¢ $20 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $61 9h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina 100¢ $62 31h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 89¢ $55 33h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $55 34h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 58¢ $58 34h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 100¢ $58 34h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 94¢ $55 35h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $48 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 96¢ $46 2d
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra SELL Caty McNally 87¢ $46 2d
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 88¢ $47 2d
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato SELL Marco Cecchinato 100¢ $47 2d
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Marco Cecchinato 85¢ $40 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 61¢ $32 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 95¢ $50 3d
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 89¢ $52 3d
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 93¢ $49 4d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova BUY Emma Raducanu 97¢ $37 4d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova BUY Emma Raducanu 97¢ $10 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 100¢ $48 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 71¢ $34 5d
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) SELL Cobolli 100¢ $34 6d
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) BUY Cobolli 95¢ $32 6d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers BUY Cleveland Guardians 96¢ $31 7d
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers SELL Seattle Mariners 100¢ $31 7d
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Seattle Mariners 89¢ $28 7d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres BUY New York Mets 95¢ $26 8d
Athletics vs. Houston Astros BUY Houston Astros 95¢ $25 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -7.1% -15.9% 69% 31% -15.7%
≤30d 93 -1.0% -10.4% 85% 27% -16.3%
≤90d 211 +0.3% -9.2% 89% 29% -11.2%
all 211 +0.3% -9.2% 89% 29% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 29% -11.2%
10% -17.9% 10% -19.7%
15% -25.8% 4% -27.5%
20% -33.1% 1% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 438 history records