Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:06:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
BE 0xbe4a…6fb3 crypto 778 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$60 (-0%) realized −$60 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate92%717W / 61L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day35.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$35
14 days−$208
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +1.9% -7.8% 96% 1% -7.8%
≤30d 778 +1.1% -8.6% 92% 8% -9.9%
≤90d 778 +1.1% -8.6% 92% 8% -9.9%
all 778 +1.1% -8.6% 92% 8% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 8% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 2% -18.5%
15% -25.3% 0% -26.4%
20% -32.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$14 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses717 / 61
Open positions0
Markets (closed)778 / 778
History coverage25d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 778 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $54 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $53 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $54 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $53 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$29 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $64 +$14 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $55 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $51 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $51 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $54 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $52 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $51 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1599 history records