trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 38% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 46% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 43% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 45% | 5% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 5% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 20 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 16 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $39 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ronnie Brunswijk be the next president of Suriname after the elec | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 25 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Solana hit $190 in March? | Mar 25 | $2 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 15 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 14 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 12 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 5? | Mar 06 | $12 | $0 | -2% |
| San José State vs. Utah State | Mar 03 | $10 | +$1 | +14% |