trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +26.3% | +14.2% | 64% | 64% | +13.0% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +26.3% | +14.2% | 64% | 64% | +13.0% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +26.3% | +14.2% | 64% | 64% | +13.0% |
| all | 25 | +26.3% | +14.2% | 64% | 64% | +13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +14.2% | 64% | +13.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +3.3% | 56% | +2.2% |
| 15% | -6.7% | 44% | -7.7% |
| 20% | -15.8% | 32% | -16.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 73¢ | 74¢ | $200 | $204 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18? | Yes | 34¢ | 52¢ | $20 | $31 | +$11 (+54%) |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 35¢ | 34¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+15%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $8 | −$7 | -98% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $20 | −$14 | -70% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $111 | +$87 | +79% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $151 | +$43 | +29% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$45 | -91% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$6 | +63% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$7 | -70% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A | Jun 17 | $19 | +$31 | +165% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$16 | +156% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$45 | +428% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $76 | +$9 | +12% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $102 | +$67 | +66% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| IR Iran to score first vs. New Zealand? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $58 | −$57 | -99% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $60 | +$18 | +29% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$4 | +18% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$23 | +226% |