Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe33…dedf
crypto · 29 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses15 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$14
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 1h
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? SELL Yes 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -21.8% -29.3% 52% 24% -38.0%
≤30d 29 -21.8% -29.3% 52% 24% -38.0%
≤90d 29 -21.8% -29.3% 52% 24% -38.0%
all 29 -21.8% -29.3% 52% 24% -38.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.3% 24% -38.0%
10% -36.0% 14% -44.0%
15% -42.2% 14% -49.4%
20% -47.9% 10% -54.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 85 history records