Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:20:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe31…b42d
crypto · 1243 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$324 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$409 · open −$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$113
Realized−$409
Unrealized−$28
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses529 / 755
Est. fees paid−$74
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1284 / 1243
History coverage79d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day37.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 14 History 1284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$77
14 days+$106
30 days−$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 70¢ 71¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+24%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+29%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $12 $2 −$10 (-83%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-61%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-83%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-96%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 14? No 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? No 65¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 51¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% −$491
sports 36% +$385
crypto 14% −$212
weather 6% +$18
world 2% $0
politics 0% −$1
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 29m
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 70¢ $20 30m
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL No 78¢ $29 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 77¢ $29 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 61¢ $23 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $15 3h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 4h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 4h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 78¢ $12 9h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 78¢ $30 10h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 54¢ $21 15h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 81¢ $12 16h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 16h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $20 18h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $26 18h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 77¢ $30 18h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $41 19h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 20h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 21h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $10 22h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 84¢ $13 22h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 22h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $14 22h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 33h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 33h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 78¢ $12 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -58.3% -62.3% 17% 16% +2.5%
≤30d 246 -16.3% -24.3% 40% 34% -13.2%
≤90d 1284 -13.4% -21.7% 41% 38% -12.8%
all 1284 -13.4% -21.7% 41% 38% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.7% 38% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.2% 35% -21.1%
15% -36.0% 31% -28.7%
20% -42.3% 28% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $112.91 · official $112.91 (match) · 3500 history records