Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:47:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe1b…b9dc
crypto · 137 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$327 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$331 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$331
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses119 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)137 / 137
History coverage80d
Avg bet$164
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 19? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9? No 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23? No 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 19? No 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +109%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24? May 25 $6 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 24? May 25 $2 +$8 +331%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? May 25 $44 +$6 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24? May 25 $210 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23? May 24 $121 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23? May 24 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23? May 24 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23? May 23 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? May 23 $2 −$2 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21? May 23 $87 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21? May 23 $211 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21? May 23 $266 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 19? May 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18? May 19 $293 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18? May 19 $339 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 17? May 18 $150 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17? May 18 $179 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17? May 18 $322 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15? May 16 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15? May 16 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15? May 16 $199 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15? May 16 $269 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 14? May 14 $87 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14? May 14 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14? May 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14? May 14 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14? May 14 $220 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12? May 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12? May 13 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12? May 13 $260 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10? May 11 $130 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 10? May 11 $219 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10? May 11 $397 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8? May 09 $199 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8? May 09 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 8? May 09 $199 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7? May 08 $6 +$4 +75%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 3? May 07 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 1? May 07 $14 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1? May 02 $269 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 52-53°F on April 23? May 01 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24? May 01 $80 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 23? May 01 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 23? May 01 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 23? May 01 $279 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$60
world 5% −$390
weather 1% $0
other 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 42h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 24? BUY No 22¢ $2 21d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24? BUY No 99¢ $6 21d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24? BUY No 100¢ $210 21d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? BUY Yes 87¢ $44 21d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 22d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23? BUY No 100¢ $121 22d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23? BUY No 3¢ $1 22d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 22d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 22d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23? BUY No 100¢ $200 22d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $87 23d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21? BUY Yes 100¢ $90 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $266 25d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21? BUY Yes 100¢ $122 25d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 19? BUY No 99¢ $99 27d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $50 27d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $90 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -26.1% -33.2% 25% 25% -6.8%
≤30d 27 -2.0% -11.3% 78% 11% -9.1%
≤90d 137 -6.1% -15.0% 87% 4% -10.9%
all 137 -6.1% -15.0% 87% 4% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 4% -10.9%
10% -23.2% 3% -19.4%
15% -30.6% 3% -27.2%
20% -37.4% 2% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 315 history records