Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe18…2a07
crypto · 279 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$141 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$255 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$255
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses153 / 126
Open positions0
Markets (closed)279 / 279
History coverage70d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Apr 26 $22 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Apr 26 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Apr 26 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Apr 26 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Apr 26 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Apr 26 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Apr 26 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Apr 26 $8 −$5 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 26 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Apr 26 $8 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 26 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Apr 25 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Apr 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Apr 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Apr 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 24 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Apr 24 $16 +$24 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Apr 24 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Apr 24 $17 +$13 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Apr 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Apr 19 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Apr 19 $5 +$5 +115%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$255
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +14.9% +3.9% 88% 80% +6.4%
≤30d 26 +10.4% -0.1% 85% 77% +2.1%
≤90d 279 -4.1% -13.2% 55% 45% -12.5%
all 279 -4.1% -13.2% 55% 45% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 45% -12.5%
10% -21.5% 34% -20.9%
15% -29.1% 25% -28.5%
20% -36.0% 17% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 977 history records