Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:53:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe11…7a9a
crypto · 160 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$46 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Net worth$442
Realized+$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses147 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)159 / 160
History coverage264d
Avg bet$359
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$2
14 days+$6
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14? No 99¢ 99¢ $442 $442 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5AM ET Up $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 10 $442 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $440 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $440 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $438 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Jun 01 $436 +$2 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? May 28 $433 +$3 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17? May 18 $433 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11? May 11 $431 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9? May 10 $430 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7? May 08 $430 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2? May 04 $428 +$2 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? May 01 $426 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 22? Apr 23 $424 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 13-19? Apr 21 $423 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 17? Apr 18 $423 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5AM ET Apr 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? Apr 13 $427 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 7? Apr 08 $425 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5? Apr 05 $423 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 3? Apr 04 $422 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? Apr 01 $420 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 29? Mar 30 $419 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 27? Mar 28 $417 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26? Mar 26 $416 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 25? Mar 26 $416 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 23? Mar 24 $415 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21? Mar 22 $414 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19? Mar 19 $413 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18? Mar 18 $420 −$7 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 9-15? Mar 16 $419 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13? Mar 14 $418 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 11? Mar 12 $418 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 9? Mar 10 $417 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 9? Mar 10 $416 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8? Mar 09 $415 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7? Mar 08 $415 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 5? Mar 06 $414 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3? Mar 03 $412 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1? Mar 02 $409 +$3 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? Mar 01 $408 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 24? Feb 24 $408 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22? Feb 23 $407 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 20? Feb 20 $406 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 18? Feb 18 $403 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 17? Feb 17 $403 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 12? Feb 13 $401 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 11? Feb 11 $400 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? Feb 10 $288 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 6? Feb 07 $394 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 5? Feb 05 $394 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$84
sports 1% +$130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $442 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $442 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $440 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $441 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $440 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $438 11d
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? BUY No 99¢ $436 16d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? SELL No 100¢ $436 16d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? BUY No 99¢ $433 25d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17? BUY No 100¢ $433 28d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $431 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9? BUY No 100¢ $430 35d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7? BUY Yes 100¢ $430 37d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2? BUY Yes 99¢ $428 42d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $426 51d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 22? BUY No 100¢ $424 52d
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 13-19? BUY No 100¢ $423 55d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 17? BUY No 100¢ $423 58d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5AM ET BUY Up $6 58d
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? BUY No 100¢ $427 65d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 7? BUY No 100¢ $425 68d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5? SELL Yes 100¢ $118 68d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5? SELL Yes 100¢ $300 68d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 68d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5? BUY Yes 99¢ $316 69d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5? BUY Yes 99¢ $107 69d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 3? BUY No 100¢ $422 71d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? BUY No 100¢ $84 74d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? BUY No 100¢ $336 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 29? BUY No 100¢ $419 76d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 7 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 30 -3.1% -12.3% 93% 0% -9.3%
all 159 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 3% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 3% -9.5%
10% -18.4% 1% -18.1%
15% -26.3% 1% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $442.22 · official $442.22 (match) · 342 history records