Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T23:45:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
BE 0xbe00…e985 sports 63 markets active 2h ago coverage 9d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$4,162 (+14%) realized +$4,162 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate44%28W / 35L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$458per market
Trades / day12.2pace
Fees−$323est.
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$420
7 days+$3,353
14 days+$3,898
30 days+$3,898
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 70% +$3,776
other 22% +$800
crypto 4% +$280
world 4% −$958
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -10.6% -19.1% 44% 44% +2.2%
≤30d 63 -9.4% -18.0% 44% 44% +2.8%
≤90d 63 -9.4% -18.0% 44% 44% +2.8%
all 63 -9.4% -18.0% 44% 44% +2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.0% 44% +2.8%
10% -25.9% 43% -7.1%
15% -33.0% 38% -16.0%
20% -39.6% 29% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +14% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt +14% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$700) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -13% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$508 vs −$295 · ×1.72 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.38 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,162
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses28 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$323
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage9d
Avg bet$458
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $1,010 +$459 +46%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 20 $354 +$201 +57%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score Jun 20 $506 +$347 +68%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $1,007 +$309 +31%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Jun 20 $504 +$154 +30%
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 18 $255 −$250 -98%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $811 −$800 -99%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 18 $1,014 +$853 +84%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $305 −$96 -32%
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $103 −$64 -62%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $354 +$210 +59%
Spread: Austria (-1.5) Jun 17 $508 +$568 +112%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $1,516 +$813 +54%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 17 $1,019 +$1,681 +165%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $711 +$382 +54%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 17 $608 +$431 +71%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 16 $1,975 +$3,049 +154%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $1,015 −$918 -90%
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand? Jun 16 $41 −$40 -97%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $708 −$700 -99%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1,116 −$878 -79%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay? Jun 15 $103 −$48 -47%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 15 $509 −$433 -85%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Uruguay? Jun 15 $72 −$70 -98%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $507 −$500 -99%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $304 +$284 +93%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $406 +$378 +93%
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Egypt? Jun 15 $51 −$50 -98%
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt? Jun 15 $72 −$70 -98%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $712 −$700 -98%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $1,010 +$467 +46%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 15 $51 −$50 -98%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 15 $72 −$70 -98%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $710 +$635 +89%
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Tunisia? Jun 15 $51 −$50 -97%
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? Jun 15 $51 −$50 -97%
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? Jun 15 $51 −$50 -98%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $304 −$300 -99%
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Jun 14 $103 −$100 -98%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1,017 −$1,000 -98%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? Jun 14 $156 +$48 +31%
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? Jun 14 $123 −$77 -62%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $811 −$800 -99%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $650 −$640 -98%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $203 −$200 -99%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $646 +$259 +40%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $307 −$229 -75%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $51 −$50 -98%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $637 +$395 +62%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $51 +$302 +589%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,469 1h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $555 1h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $853 2h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 63¢ $354 4h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 58¢ $506 5h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 68¢ $1,010 5h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $657 5h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 76¢ $504 6h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 76¢ $1,007 6h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $255 47h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $811 47h
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) SELL Colombia 99¢ $1,867 2d
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 34¢ $208 2d
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 48¢ $305 2d
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) BUY Colombia 53¢ $1,014 2d
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 4¢ $39 2d
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 10¢ $51 2d
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 10¢ $51 2d
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $564 3d
Spread: Austria (-1.5) SELL Austria 99¢ $1,076 3d
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Austria 46¢ $508 3d
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5 BUY Over 62¢ $354 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,329 3d
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) SELL Argentina 100¢ $2,700 3d
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 SELL Under 100¢ $744 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 64¢ $505 3d
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 SELL Under 48¢ $350 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 64¢ $505 3d
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 BUY Under 47¢ $711 3d
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) BUY Argentina 37¢ $1,019 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 117 history records