trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -63.1% | -66.6% | 0% | 0% | -66.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -63.1% | -66.6% | 0% | 0% | -66.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 78% | 11% | -44.1% |
| all | 13 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 77% | 8% | -42.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.0% | 8% | -42.4% |
| 10% | -29.5% | 8% | -48.0% |
| 15% | -36.3% | 8% | -53.0% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 8% | -57.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $173 | $172 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Jun 21 | $164 | −$104 | -63% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 23 | $195 | −$192 | -99% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11? | Apr 23 | $341 | +$2 | +0% |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? | Apr 11 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Apr 11 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | Apr 11 | $6 | +$4 | +67% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Apr 11 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Apr 11 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | Apr 11 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | Feb 02 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Feb 02 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 20 | Jan 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $2.40 in December? | Jan 06 | $16 | $0 | +0% |