Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdf8…8d47
crypto · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$53 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses13 / 25
Open positions1
Markets (closed)38 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$52
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$31 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$12 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$105 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$51 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$166 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$108 +343%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$38 +360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$25 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$12 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$17 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -14.4% -22.6% 34% 34% -13.8%
≤30d 38 -14.4% -22.6% 34% 34% -13.8%
≤90d 38 -14.4% -22.6% 34% 34% -13.8%
all 38 -14.4% -22.6% 34% 34% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 34% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 34% -22.1%
15% -36.7% 32% -29.6%
20% -42.9% 29% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.36 · official $3.36 (match) · 100 history records