Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:30:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdf5…9c7b
sports · 10 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$2
Realized−$12
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses3 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)8 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day34.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 2 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$1 -85%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $13 −$5 -38%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $11 +$1 +5%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +24%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -53%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$5
other 30% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 92¢ $2 28m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes $0 32m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 44m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 12¢ $1 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 61¢ $5 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 41¢ $3 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 45¢ $3 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 37¢ $1 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 40¢ $2 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 36¢ $2 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 37¢ $2 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 31¢ $1 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 34¢ $2 7h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 77¢ $2 7h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 55¢ $2 7h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 36¢ $1 7h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 44¢ $2 7h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 93¢ $4 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 77¢ $2 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 77¢ $2 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 72¢ $3 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 85¢ $2 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 76¢ $2 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 75¢ $5 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 69¢ $2 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 65¢ $3 8h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-40.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -33.8% -40.1% 38% 12% -34.4%
≤30d 8 -33.8% -40.1% 38% 12% -34.4%
≤90d 8 -33.8% -40.1% 38% 12% -34.4%
all 8 -33.8% -40.1% 38% 12% -34.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.1% 12% -34.4%
10% ← realistic here -45.8% 12% -40.7%
15% -51.0% 0% -46.4%
20% -55.8% 0% -51.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.74 · official $1.74 (match) · 41 history records