Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdf1…3dd9
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$2 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 4 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+24%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Yes 57¢ 58¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$2
crypto 31% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $6 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 13h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 2d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 2d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+139.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +164.7% +139.5% 100% 100% +139.5%
≤30d 1 +164.7% +139.5% 100% 100% +139.5%
≤90d 1 +164.7% +139.5% 100% 100% +139.5%
all 1 +164.7% +139.5% 100% 100% +139.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +139.5% 100% +139.5%
10% +116.6% 100% +116.6%
15% +95.7% 100% +95.7%
20% +76.5% 100% +76.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.49 · official $15.49 (match) · 7 history records