Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:12:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdd3…21b8
crypto · 1192 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$89 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$92 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$92
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses536 / 573
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1109 / 1192
History coverage13d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day146.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 2 History 1109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$227
14 days+$92
30 days+$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +490%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +331%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +230%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +198%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$8
other 7% +$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 822 +8.7% -1.6% 52% 52% -4.8%
≤30d 1109 +1.2% -8.4% 48% 47% -9.9%
≤90d 1109 +1.2% -8.4% 48% 47% -9.9%
all 1109 +1.2% -8.4% 48% 47% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover146.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 47% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 45% -18.5%
15% -25.2% 41% -26.4%
20% -32.5% 30% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.43 · official $0.06 (match) · 2532 history records