Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdcc…0558
crypto · 1360 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,826 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,845 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,845
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses642 / 717
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1359 / 1360
History coverage11d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day189.8
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1359 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,361
7 days+$1,520
14 days+$2,845
30 days+$2,845
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$73 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$11 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$20 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$19 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$16 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$17 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$16 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$18 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,826
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $21 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $21 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 997 -3.5% -12.7% 43% 37% -10.3%
≤30d 1359 +0.1% -9.4% 47% 38% -8.6%
≤90d 1359 +0.1% -9.4% 47% 38% -8.6%
all 1359 +0.1% -9.4% 47% 38% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover189.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 38% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 29% -17.4%
15% -26.0% 21% -25.4%
20% -33.2% 16% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records