trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -32.6% | -39.0% | 50% | 50% | -16.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 67% | 33% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 77% | 45% | -10.1% |
| all | 64 | +10.9% | +0.4% | 81% | 67% | -0.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.4% | 67% | -0.9% |
| 10% | -9.2% | 45% | -10.4% |
| 15% | -18.0% | 31% | -19.1% |
| 20% | -26.0% | 23% | -27.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | $700 | $720 | +$20 (+3%) |
| Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? | Yes | 76¢ | 81¢ | $500 | $535 | +$35 (+7%) |
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | Yes | 82¢ | 80¢ | $400 | $388 | −$12 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $302 | +$64 | +21% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $80 | +$17 | +21% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $30 | −$22 | -73% |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | May 29 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | May 29 | $1,000 | +$31 | +3% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 08 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 08 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Apr 07 | $100 | +$7 | +7% |
| Kraken vs. Oilers | Apr 07 | $1,000 | +$31 | +3% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10? | Apr 07 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Warriors vs. Celtics | Apr 01 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Celtics vs. Hawks | Apr 01 | $10 | +$9 | +91% |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Apr 01 | $20 | +$11 | +56% |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | Apr 01 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Apr 01 | $30 | +$4 | +15% |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Apr 01 | $50 | +$4 | +9% |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Apr 01 | $60 | +$4 | +7% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | Apr 01 | $50 | +$16 | +32% |
| Thunder vs. Nets | Apr 01 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Apr 01 | $100 | +$59 | +59% |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Apr 01 | $5 | +$4 | +89% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Mar 18 | $20 | +$5 | +27% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $30 | +$27 | +89% |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $50 | +$25 | +49% |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Mar 18 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $200 | +$60 | +30% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 17 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks | Mar 16 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |
| Celtics vs. Thunder | Mar 16 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Mar 16 | $10 | +$9 | +92% |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Mar 16 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| Nets vs. 76ers | Mar 16 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets | Mar 16 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| Wizards vs. Heat | Mar 16 | $30 | +$4 | +12% |
| Bucks vs. Hawks | Mar 16 | $30 | +$12 | +39% |
| Cavaliers vs. Mavericks | Mar 16 | $50 | +$9 | +18% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? | Mar 16 | $30 | +$38 | +128% |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Mar 16 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Pistons vs. Nets | Mar 16 | $100 | +$11 | +11% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Mar 16 | $100 | +$14 | +14% |
| Knicks vs. Jazz | Mar 16 | $100 | +$20 | +20% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10? | Mar 16 | $100 | +$54 | +54% |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | Mar 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 09 | $20 | −$13 | -66% |
| LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In | Feb 09 | $200 | +$55 | +27% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Feb 06 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY? | Feb 06 | $400 | +$64 | +16% |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Feb 06 | $804 | +$133 | +17% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31? | Feb 06 | $50 | +$28 | +56% |