Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbdac…5f12
crypto · 1121 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$203 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$203 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses413 / 708
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1121 / 1121
History coverage23d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day138.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$130
7 days−$13
14 days−$71
30 days−$203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$22 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$21 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$14 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$15 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$13 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$17 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$35 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$14 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$14 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$15 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$14 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$15 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$15 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$11 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$19 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$15 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$14 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$11 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$11 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$203
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $19 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $19 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $20 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $19 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $20 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 504 -8.6% -17.3% 35% 26% -9.9%
≤30d 1121 -7.0% -15.8% 37% 25% -11.6%
≤90d 1121 -7.0% -15.8% 37% 25% -11.6%
all 1121 -7.0% -15.8% 37% 25% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 25% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 19% -20.1%
15% -31.2% 17% -27.8%
20% -38.0% 15% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records