Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:49:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbd9c…996a
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses1 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals Yes 52¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Jun 12 $2 −$1 -98%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -73%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals BUY Yes 52¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 32¢ $2 1h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $2 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 13h
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals SELL Yes 7¢ $0 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 13h
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY Yes 25¢ $1 18h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 18h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-59.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -55.2% -59.5% 17% 17% -58.0%
≤30d 6 -55.2% -59.5% 17% 17% -58.0%
≤90d 6 -55.2% -59.5% 17% 17% -58.0%
all 6 -55.2% -59.5% 17% 17% -58.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -59.5% 17% -58.0%
10% -63.3% 17% -62.0%
15% -66.9% 17% -65.7%
20% -70.1% 17% -69.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.90 · official $3.90 · 11 history records