Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:48:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BD 0xbd91…7012 crypto 2111 markets active 1h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (235 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)
Total PnL −$518 (-80%) realized −$518 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -41% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -55% what you keep after slip
Net edge-55%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate6%31W / 530L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$0per market
Trades / day234.7pace
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$3
14 days−$75
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% −$66
other 21% +$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (235 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-46.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -33.5% -39.9% 9% 8% -34.2%
≤30d 561 -41.1% -46.7% 6% 5% -67.9%
≤90d 561 -41.1% -46.7% 6% 5% -67.9%
all 561 -41.1% -46.7% 6% 5% -67.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover234.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.7% 5% -67.9%
10% ← realistic here -51.8% 5% -71.0%
15% -56.5% 5% -73.8%
20% -60.7% 5% -76.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 56% · top 2 59% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -41% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -48% → late -35% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$0 · ×16.46 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$518
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses31 / 530
Open positions0
Markets (closed)561 / 2111
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$0
Trades / day234.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 561 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -81%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +200%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +335%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -81%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -81%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +144%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records