Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbd8a…07ac
crypto · 962 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$806 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses475 / 487
Open positions0
Markets (closed)962 / 962
History coverage111d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day19.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 962 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$35 +210%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET May 08 $44 −$43 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET May 08 $33 +$27 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET May 07 $12 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 07 $12 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 07 $23 −$23 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 07 $44 +$36 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 07 $22 +$18 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 07 $18 +$12 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 07 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET May 07 $44 −$43 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET May 07 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 06 $11 +$9 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 06 $6 +$4 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 06 $11 +$9 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 06 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 06 $11 +$9 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 06 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 06 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 06 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 06 $12 +$8 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET May 06 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET May 06 $17 +$13 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 05 $33 +$27 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 05 $44 +$36 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 05 $22 +$14 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET May 05 $31 +$26 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET May 05 $41 +$35 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET May 05 $10 +$9 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET May 05 $16 +$11 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 04 $10 +$9 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 04 $5 +$4 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 04 $21 +$17 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 04 $31 +$23 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 03 $42 +$34 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 03 $42 +$34 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 03 $41 −$41 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 03 $16 +$11 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 03 $20 +$18 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 03 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 03 $42 +$34 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 03 $39 −$39 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET May 03 $42 −$41 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $9 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 37d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 37d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -61.2% -64.9% 12% 12% -41.9%
≤30d 8 -61.2% -64.9% 12% 12% -41.9%
≤90d 311 +2.3% -7.5% 53% 53% -4.5%
all 962 -4.6% -13.7% 49% 49% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 49% -9.9%
10% -22.0% 49% -18.6%
15% -29.5% 49% -26.4%
20% -36.4% 49% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records