Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:18:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbd6c…a568
crypto · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$12,237 +90%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$112 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$145
Realized−$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses29 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)39 / 41
History coverage10d
Avg bet$332
Trades / day344.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$200
7 days−$494
14 days−$112
30 days−$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 35¢ 100¢ $30 $85 +$55 (+185%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 92¢ 92¢ $37 $37 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? No 57¢ 56¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? No 93¢ 94¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 22¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? No 65¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Jun 14 $22 −$33 -154%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $261 −$93 -36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $2 $0 -9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $71 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $298 +$132 +44%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 +77%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $240 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $212 +$9 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $874 −$219 -25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $266 −$111 -42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $58 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $149 +$5 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $630 −$23 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $19 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $89 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $180 +$7 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $490 +$48 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $576 −$253 -44%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $96 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $513 +$87 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $826 −$148 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $179 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $207 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $29 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $112 +$7 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $371 +$28 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $427 +$104 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $969 +$53 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $205 +$6 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $296 +$46 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $760 −$162 -21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $260 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $427 +$17 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $626 +$18 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $696 +$117 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $38 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $754 +$29 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $1,308 +$196 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? BUY No 57¢ $6 26m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 92¢ $9 28m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? BUY No 58¢ $6 30m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 93¢ $9 32m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 92¢ $9 33m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 91¢ $1 48m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 91¢ $8 48m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 90¢ $9 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 91¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 91¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? SELL Yes 90¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? SELL No 55¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? BUY No 55¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 92¢ $9 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 94¢ $9 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 92¢ $9 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 92¢ $9 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 31¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 31¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 33¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 28¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 28¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 29¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 31¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 28¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 28¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 29¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -10.7% -19.2% 69% 16% -14.1%
≤30d 39 -7.6% -16.4% 74% 18% -10.0%
≤90d 39 -7.6% -16.4% 74% 18% -10.0%
all 39 -7.6% -16.4% 74% 18% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover344.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 18% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 8% -18.6%
15% -31.7% 5% -26.5%
20% -38.4% 3% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $145.25 · official $145.25 (match) · 3500 history records