trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $52 | $52 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $33 | $33 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $970 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series | Jun 23 | $967 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 22 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1,003 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 22 | $1,099 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1,035 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? | May 19 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | May 19 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 19 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 17 | $898 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? | May 17 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 16 | $862 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 16 | $854 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 16 | $796 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 16 | $866 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 15 | $869 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | May 15 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 15 | $847 | −$1 | -0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 14 | $867 | −$7 | -1% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 14 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 14 | $878 | −$1 | -0% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Apr 06 | $160 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 06 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Apr 06 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 02 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | Apr 02 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 02 | $23 | $0 | -0% |