trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 16¢ | 2¢ | $353 | $33 | −$320 (-91%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 82¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $102 | −$42 | -41% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 07 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 07 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 20% | 0% | -40.2% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 20% | 0% | -40.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 20% | 0% | -40.2% |
| all | 5 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 20% | 0% | -40.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.6% | 0% | -40.2% |
| 10% | -26.4% | 0% | -45.9% |
| 15% | -33.5% | 0% | -51.1% |
| 20% | -40.0% | 0% | -55.9% |