trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 25% | 25% | -47.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 20% | 20% | -60.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 20% | 20% | -60.2% |
| all | 15 | -51.9% | -56.5% | 13% | 13% | -49.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -56.5% | 13% | -49.7% |
| 10% | -60.7% | 13% | -54.6% |
| 15% | -64.5% | 13% | -58.9% |
| 20% | -67.9% | 13% | -63.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 58¢ | 84¢ | $279 | $402 | +$123 (+44%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $358 | −$117 | -33% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$121 | +238% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31? | May 31 | $235 | −$230 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | May 24 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | May 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | May 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | May 02 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election? | Apr 29 | $331 | +$390 | +118% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $335 | −$4 | -1% |
| Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona | Apr 26 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Sperm Race: Tristan (USC) vs Asher (UCLA) | Apr 26 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Apr 26 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Sperm Race: Noah Boat vs Jimmy Zhang | Apr 26 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |