Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:01:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbd0d…8556
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$30 -67%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses1 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage30d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 24 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$29
sports 11% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $4 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 22d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-78.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -11.9% -20.3% 0% 0% -20.3%
≤30d 11 -75.7% -78.0% 9% 9% -72.0%
≤90d 11 -75.7% -78.0% 9% 9% -72.0%
all 11 -75.7% -78.0% 9% 9% -72.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -78.0% 9% -72.0%
10% -80.1% 9% -74.7%
15% -82.0% 9% -77.2%
20% -83.8% 9% -79.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records