Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:24:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbd0b…8a03
crypto · 362 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15,198 -130%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,195 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$15,195
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses183 / 513
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)696 / 362
History coverage21d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day160.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 696 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16,622
7 days−$16,718
14 days−$15,668
30 days−$15,195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 20¢ 19¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$44 -1455%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $281 −$281 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$2,275
sports 1% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-52.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 513 -73.1% -75.6% 12% 11% -87.8%
≤30d 696 -47.1% -52.1% 26% 24% -60.3%
≤90d 696 -47.1% -52.1% 26% 24% -60.3%
all 696 -47.1% -52.1% 26% 24% -60.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover160.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.1% 24% -60.3%
10% ← realistic here -56.7% 22% -64.1%
15% -60.9% 20% -67.6%
20% -64.7% 16% -70.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.03 · official $6.84 · 3500 history records