Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BD
0xbd05…0a55
crypto · 83 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$389 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$368 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,070
Realized−$368
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses47 / 52
Open positions1
Markets (closed)99 / 83
Avg bet$212
Trades / day3418.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$368
7 days−$368
14 days−$368
30 days−$368
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $239 $664 +$425 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $185 $302 +$118 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 72¢ 98¢ $75 $102 +$27 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 18¢ 2¢ $23 $2 −$21 (-92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $410 $0 −$410 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $410 −$410 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $269 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $139 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $199 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $245 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $254 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $154 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $174 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$14 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $324 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $252 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $197 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $191 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $190 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $229 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $308 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $245 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $206 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $147 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $314 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $205 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $236 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $211 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $319 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $345 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 2% -11.4%
≤30d 99 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 2% -11.4%
≤90d 99 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 2% -11.4%
all 99 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 2% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3418.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 2% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 1% -19.8%
15% -34.2% 1% -27.6%
20% -40.6% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,070.43 · official $1,080.64 (match) · 3500 history records