Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbcfa…cab8
sports · 251 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$407 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$407 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$407
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses226 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)251 / 251
History coverage110d
Avg bet$726
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 251 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,642
7 days+$3,642
14 days+$2,883
30 days+$2,883
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs HAVU - Map 1 Winner Aurora Young Blood 90¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Acend - Map 2 Winner MOUZ NXT 90¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Inner Circle Esports 90¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Acend - Map 1 Winner STATE 90¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner ENCE 88¢ 0¢ $417 $0 −$417 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner WW Team 90¢ 0¢ $410 $0 −$410 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner G2 Esports 95¢ 0¢ $392 $0 −$392 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winner Yawara Esports 40¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 Winner ECSTATIC 90¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner paiN 84¢ 0¢ $420 $0 −$420 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3,004 +$50 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5,005 +$70 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2,003 +$38 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4,009 +$132 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3,003 +$38 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $261 +$390 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2,001 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1,014 +$236 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $3,003 +$38 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $506 +$106 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3,006 +$88 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1,007 +$100 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3,005 +$69 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,004 +$57 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1,004 +$60 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2,008 +$126 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1,018 +$376 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1,503 −$487 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1,010 +$160 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $504 +$52 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $508 −$500 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2,003 +$41 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2,003 +$41 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1,001 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $506 +$99 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2,003 +$35 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $505 +$86 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1,334 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $511 +$215 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2,002 +$33 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $506 +$99 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $510 +$201 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $517 +$430 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1,007 +$97 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $511 +$205 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $507 +$112 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $503 +$48 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $504 +$57 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $755 +$83 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1,001 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $256 +$141 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $191 +$73 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $184 +$72 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1,677 +$100 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,615 +$71 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,611 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,598 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $139 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,574 +$25 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1,558 +$15 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% +$2,883
sports 37% −$2,476
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1,001 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1,002 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1,001 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1,002 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1,002 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1,007 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1,001 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $261 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $507 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $507 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,001 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,001 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1,001 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $506 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,001 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1,001 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1,004 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1,007 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 +7.2% -3.0% 96% 21% -6.5%
≤30d 105 +5.2% -4.8% 94% 20% -6.7%
≤90d 108 +5.4% -4.6% 94% 22% -6.5%
all 251 +1.5% -8.2% 90% 47% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 47% -8.8%
10% -17.0% 8% -17.5%
15% -25.0% 6% -25.5%
20% -32.4% 2% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1025 history records