Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbcea…e614
crypto · 461 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$68 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$22
Realized−$66
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses184 / 276
Open positions1
Markets (closed)460 / 461
Avg bet$36
Trades / day1881.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 460 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$66
7 days−$66
14 days−$66
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 53¢ 57¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 50¢ 42¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-16%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $75 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $75 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $64 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$4 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 460 +1.6% -8.1% 40% 8% -9.9%
≤30d 460 +1.6% -8.1% 40% 8% -9.9%
≤90d 460 +1.6% -8.1% 40% 8% -9.9%
all 460 +1.6% -8.1% 40% 8% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1881.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 8% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 4% -18.5%
15% -24.9% 2% -26.4%
20% -32.3% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.99 · official $22.00 (match) · 3500 history records