Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:43:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbce1…22d8
crypto · 1677 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$159 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$159
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1365 / 312
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1677 / 1677
History coverage35d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day56.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1677 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$18
14 days−$40
30 days−$181
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -66%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -71%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$157
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 658 -0.5% -10.0% 87% 33% -9.8%
≤30d 1472 -1.3% -10.7% 85% 26% -10.8%
≤90d 1677 -0.6% -10.1% 81% 26% -10.6%
all 1677 -0.6% -10.1% 81% 26% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 26% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 1% -19.1%
15% -26.5% 1% -27.0%
20% -33.7% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records