Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbcde…5508
crypto · 35 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$52 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses19 / 15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)34 / 35
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day97.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$52
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 41¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$9 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $12 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -1.2% -10.6% 56% 47% -23.2%
≤30d 34 -1.2% -10.6% 56% 47% -23.2%
≤90d 34 -1.2% -10.6% 56% 47% -23.2%
all 34 -1.2% -10.6% 56% 47% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 47% -23.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 41% -30.6%
15% -27.0% 38% -37.3%
20% -34.1% 26% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.91 · official $3.18 · 131 history records