Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:59:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbccb…6d3a
crypto · 33 markets active 38d ago
3.5score
+$27,694 +153%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27,694 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$27,694
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses3 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage719d
Avg bet$549
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $233 $0 −$233 (-100%)
Celeb charged with pumping memecoin before July? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? No 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Zelenskyy x Putin talk before July? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $4,066 $0 −$4,066 (-100%)
OpenSea blocks US users in 2024? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will someone else be inaugurated? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $258 $0 −$258 (-100%)
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2,296 $0 −$2,296 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1,411 $0 −$1,411 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
US military action against Iran before July? No 22¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $910 $0 −$910 (-100%)
No Ethereum all time high in 2024? No 61¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? May 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Roaring Kitty jail in 2024? May 05 $4 −$2 -46%
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on A Aug 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? Jun 19 $235 −$235 -100%
Zelenskyy x Putin talk before July? Jun 19 $34 −$34 -100%
US military action against Iran before July? Jun 17 $200 −$200 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? Jun 02 $1,411 −$1,411 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? Jun 02 $6,076 −$5,094 -84%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? May 19 $200 −$200 -100%
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? Dec 10 $2,296 −$2,296 -100%
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024? Nov 27 $910 −$910 -100%
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Nov 24 $104 −$8 -8%
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1? Nov 21 $38 −$38 -100%
Will someone else be inaugurated? Nov 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting? Nov 21 $11 −$11 -100%
OpenSea blocks US users in 2024? Nov 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 21 $1 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 21 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Oct 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? Oct 07 $238 −$238 -100%
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi? Oct 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4? Jun 29 $308 −$258 -84%
Biden drops out of presidential race? Jun 29 $32 +$38 +120%
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024? Jun 20 $61 −$61 -100%
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros? Jun 17 $233 −$233 -100%
Trump in jail before election day? Jun 04 $19 $0 -0%
Celeb charged with pumping memecoin before July? May 29 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? May 24 $200 +$1,800 +900%
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? May 24 $4,955 +$37,617 +759%
No Ethereum all time high in 2024? May 20 $122 −$122 -100%
Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024? May 20 $160 −$160 -100%
Ethereum all time high in 2024? May 20 $204 −$204 -100%
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 48% +$36,043
world 44% −$6,905
other 8% −$1,468
politics 0% +$38
economics 0% −$11
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 37d
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on A BUY Yes 3¢ $15 301d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 1¢ $21 358d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 358d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 358d
Zelenskyy x Putin talk before July? BUY Yes 2¢ $19 358d
Zelenskyy x Putin talk before July? BUY Yes 2¢ $12 358d
Zelenskyy x Putin talk before July? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 358d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 358d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 1¢ $14 358d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 1¢ $63 358d
US military action against Iran before July? BUY No 22¢ $200 359d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 3¢ $106 374d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 3¢ $24 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? BUY Yes 24¢ $151 374d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $783 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $17 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $694 374d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $9 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $40 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 9¢ $900 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? BUY Yes 24¢ $1,260 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $52 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $761 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 8¢ $320 374d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 9¢ $70 379d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 379d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-30.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 2 -72.8% -75.4% 0% 0% -67.2%
all 33 -23.5% -30.8% 9% 9% +152.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.8% 9% +152.5%
10% -37.4% 9% +128.3%
15% -43.4% 9% +106.3%
20% -49.0% 9% +86.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 231 history records