trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $28 | $0 | −$28 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Up | 35¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 15¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Giants vs. Patriots | Giants | 25¢ | 0¢ | $700 | $0 | −$700 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda | Jun 13 | $18 | +$2 | +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | May 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs | May 24 | $4 | $0 | +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | May 24 | $5 | +$1 | +15% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 19 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Mar 15 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Patriots | Dec 01 | $700 | −$700 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Lakers | Dec 01 | $2,760 | +$240 | +9% |
| 49ers vs. Browns | Dec 01 | $2,130 | +$870 | +41% |
| Ohio State vs. Michigan | Nov 30 | $3,900 | +$1,100 | +28% |
| Bulls vs. Hornets | Nov 29 | $1,800 | +$2,200 | +122% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -45.1% | -50.3% | 50% | 0% | -5.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 67% | 17% | -13.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 67% | 17% | -13.0% |
| all | 12 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 67% | 33% | +19.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.6% | 33% | +19.8% |
| 10% | -29.1% | 25% | +8.3% |
| 15% | -36.0% | 17% | -2.1% |
| 20% | -42.2% | 8% | -11.7% |