Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:29:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BC 0xbc96…174c crypto 1680 markets active 1h ago coverage 49d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 48d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$76 (-0%) realized −$76 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate82%1371W / 309L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day52.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$10
14 days−$63
30 days−$267
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 173 -0.1% -9.6% 83% 35% -8.4%
≤30d 1234 -2.0% -11.3% 76% 21% -13.0%
≤90d 1680 -1.1% -10.5% 82% 16% -10.2%
all 1680 -1.1% -10.5% 82% 16% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 16% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 8% -18.8%
15% -26.9% 3% -26.7%
20% -34.0% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
79% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1371 / 309
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1680 / 1680
History coverage49d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day52.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1680 Trades
no open positions (30 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records