trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -49.5% | -54.3% | 50% | 0% | -12.7% |
| all | 27 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 52% | 48% | -16.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.2% | 48% | -16.1% |
| 10% | -31.4% | 48% | -24.1% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 48% | -31.4% |
| 20% | -44.1% | 30% | -38.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $128 | $128 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 57¢ | 43¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assists | Jun 21 | $127 | +$1 | +1% |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Ca | Mar 30 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Senators vs. Rangers | Mar 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Mar 23 | $10 | +$4 | +45% |
| Thunder vs. Knicks | Mar 13 | $8 | +$5 | +64% |
| Kraken vs. Stars | Mar 04 | $8 | +$4 | +51% |
| Hurricanes vs. Rangers | Feb 11 | $6 | +$3 | +49% |
| Red Wings vs. Avalanche | Feb 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | Jan 23 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Red Wings | Jan 16 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Jazz | Jan 16 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| Lightning vs. Sharks | Jan 10 | $10 | +$6 | +56% |
| Celtics vs. Jazz | Jan 03 | $8 | +$3 | +37% |
| Suns vs. Pelicans | Dec 30 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Blues vs. Lightning | Dec 27 | $4 | +$2 | +47% |
| Canucks vs. Islanders | Dec 19 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Lightning | Dec 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Dec 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Nets | Dec 08 | $8 | +$5 | +64% |
| Hornets vs. Nets | Dec 01 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Knicks | Dec 01 | $7 | +$2 | +37% |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 27 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Nov 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Solana flips ETH in daily fees in July? | Nov 12 | $3 | +$7 | +245% |
| Ryan Garcia comes out of retirement before August? | Jul 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Fact Check: Was Trump wearing a bulletproof vest? | Jul 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Lega receive more than 9% of votes? | Jul 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |