Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc70…ad4e
politics · 3 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$5 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP politics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage46d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 A May 04 $11 $0 +4%
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W May 04 $99 +$4 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 92% +$4
crypto 8% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 A SELL Yes 100¢ $11 40d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W SELL Yes 99¢ $103 40d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W BUY Yes 95¢ $99 40d
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 A BUY Yes 96¢ $11 46d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +10.3% -0.2% 100% 0% -0.2%
≤30d 1 +10.3% -0.2% 100% 0% -0.2%
≤90d 3 +6.1% -4.0% 100% 0% -5.5%
all 3 +6.1% -4.0% 100% 0% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.0% 0% -5.5%
10% -13.2% 0% -14.6%
15% -21.6% 0% -22.8%
20% -29.2% 0% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records