trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 83% | 17% | -13.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 85% | 15% | -12.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 86% | 21% | -11.9% |
| all | 15 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 87% | 20% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.1% | 20% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -12.4% | 7% | -20.3% |
| 15% | -20.9% | 7% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -28.6% | 7% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $66 | $65 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $49 | $49 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $29 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $38 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $62 | −$11 | -18% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 07 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $9 | +$1 | +14% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | May 12 | $1 | +$1 | +89% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | Feb 28 | $4 | $0 | +0% |