Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:02:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc4d…be2c
crypto · 240 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses157 / 83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 240
History coverage16d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day18.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$5
14 days−$3
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -67%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$2
other 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 13m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 14m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 +4.5% -5.5% 66% 60% -6.5%
≤30d 240 +1.1% -8.5% 65% 60% -10.7%
≤90d 240 +1.1% -8.5% 65% 60% -10.7%
all 240 +1.1% -8.5% 65% 60% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 60% -10.7%
10% -17.3% 52% -19.3%
15% -25.3% 41% -27.1%
20% -32.6% 27% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 438 history records